First Quarter FEC filings for House races to watch (Part IIa--GOP Incumbents,...
All House candidates have now submitted their 1st quarter 2006 FEC reports. I have been keeping track of the most competitive races. The following is the long list of where the potentially competitve...
View ArticlePresidential Approval Ratings and House Midterm Results
Seeing Bush with approval ratings in the low 30s begs the question: so what? He's not on the ballot this fall, and won't be ever again. There is, however, a historical correlation between...
View ArticleFirst Quarter FEC filings for House races to watch (Part IIb--GOP Incumbents,...
All House candidates have now submitted their 1st quarter 2006 FEC reports. I have been keeping track of the most competitive races. The following is the long list of where the potentially competitve...
View Article"Bumpy Road Ahead for GOP"--Charlie Cook; plus FEC numbers for Dem...
According to today's column by Charlie Cook, probably the top election analyst in the country, there is indeed a party suffering from a motivation gap this year. And, contrary to what kos and others...
View ArticleMay House Race Rankings
As many of you know, I am a House race watcher who has been periodically ranking the seats, both Dem and GOP in terms of likelihood of turnover to the other party. In this respect, there are...
View ArticleHouse Race Rankings: Comparison of my May List to National Journal's Chuck...
At the beginning of the month, I posted an update on House race rankings, which is available here: http://www.dailykos.com/.... Today, the National Journal's rankings, prepared by Editor-in-Chief...
View ArticleComposite House Race Ratings by Pro Prognosticators
In yesterday's diary, where I compared my House rankings to those of Chuck Todd of the National Journal, DavidNYC suggested that someone do a composite of the rankings or ratings of the handful of...
View ArticleJune House Rankings
As many of you know, I am a House race watcher who has been periodically ranking the seats, both Dem and GOP in terms of likelihood of turnover to the other party. In this respect, there are...
View ArticleJune Composite House Rankings by Pro Prognosticators
Yesterday, I updated my own rankings, which can be found here: http://www.dailykos.com/.... Last month I also began keeping track of what the professionals are saying. In that category, I consider...
View ArticleUS Senate Polling Scoreboard
The following is a quick reference scoreboard for where the various Senate races stand. I list the polls used and the date. Where there are multiple polls within a reasonable time period, I average...
View ArticleConnecticut Results, Some Thoughts on November
As I'm sure most of you know by now, Joe Lieberman has filed to run as a member of a vanity party in the fall: http://news.yahoo.com/.... As I am someone who has already been proven wrong in one...
View ArticleAugust House Rankings (with poll)
This is my (very) belated July update for House races, which barely makes it in August. The big news since the last posting (http://www.dailykos.com/...) is the release of the second quarter...
View ArticleHouse 2006: August Composite House Ratings by Pros
Last week, I updated my own rankings, which can be found here: http://www.dailykos.com/.... I also keep track of what the professionals are saying. In that category, I consider the National...
View ArticleUpdated Composite House Ratings by Pro Analysts
As some of you know, I am an analyst of House races. In addition to my own ratings, I have been keeping track of what the nonpartisan professionals have been saying about individual races. I...
View ArticleUpdated House Rankings by Pro Analysts
I have been keeping close track of the battle for the House. In addition to my own race ratings, I also have been doing a running composite of the non-partisan professional analysts' ratings. In that...
View ArticlePros' Composite House Forecast
I posted an update of the pros' composite House ratings on Monday. In that diary, I combined the parties' seats, as the National Journal does. At the request of DavidNYC, I am now reposting the...
View ArticleMajor Shifts to the Dems in Analysts' House Race Ratings
I last posted an update of the pros' composite House ratings on September 27, two days before hurricane Foley hit. Obviously, much has changed in the three weeks since then--almost all of it in the...
View ArticleSenate Polling Scoreboard
With the latest round of Zogby Interactive garbage polls out, I thought I should share what the real polls are saying about the Senate race. I include all non-interactive, non-partisan polls. I...
View ArticleHouse Elections Final 4 Style Pool
With all this buzz about "fantasy Congress", I figured I'd put together a March Madness-style bracket with the 64 most competitive GOP-held House seats. Anyone who wants to play, e-mail me their...
View ArticleAnalysts House Composite House Rankings One Week Out (Plus Race Polls)
With one week to go, here is how the professional non-partisan forecasters see the races. The consensus is that the House will flip to Democratic control, and the question is by how much. This is...
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