I posted an update of the pros' composite House ratings on Monday. In that diary, I combined the parties' seats, as the National Journal does. At the request of DavidNYC, I am now reposting the composites the way I normally do, with the GOP and Dem seats ranked separately. I also added three things: 1) I substituted in the latest National Journal ratings, which came out on Friday (before I posted but after I compiled); 2) I included poll numbers from nonpartisan polls taken in August or September; and 3) I included my thoughts on potential upset races to watch that did not make any of the pros' lists. Bottom line, the Dems are solidly positioned to make double-digit gains. These analysts tend to range the outcome from +10 to +20, with exactly the +15 needed for control as the "top of the bell curve" outcome. I tend to be more optimistic; from what I've seen, the most likely outcome is around +25.
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